Capitora Capital Flow Intelligence
Capital flow intelligence · Institutional

Track where capital is movingbefore the market prices it in.

Capitora assembles federal obligations, AI infrastructure capex, defense procurement, and state-level economic momentum into a single institutional view of where capital is actually being deployed.

Live
Calculation

YoY change in reported DoD contract obligations across all major commands, normalized for fiscal-calendar drift.

Source

USAspending.gov + SAM.gov contract award feeds

DoD FY obligations
$842.1B+6.4%
Calculation

Next-twelve-month aggregate capital expenditure guidance from hyperscaler earnings calls, facility permits, and supply-chain filings.

Source

SEC EDGAR 8-K / 10-Q + state permitting databases

AI infra capex (NTM)
$394B+41.0%
Calculation

Cumulative CHIPS and Science Act funds disbursed to fabs, equipment vendors, and materials suppliers.

Source

Commerce Dept CHIPS Program Office + Treasury disbursement records

CHIPS deployed
$32.7B+12.1%
Calculation

Trailing-12-month data-center building permit square footage in Loudoun County, VA — proxy for national pipeline.

Source

Loudoun County Dept of Building & Development + state permit APIs

DC permits (LoCo VA)
3.4M sf+18.0%
Calculation

Rolling 30-day peak demand vs. prior-year same-period, signaling grid stress and generation investment need.

Source

ERCOT real-time load dashboards + EIA-930 hourly grid data

ERCOT peak load
85.4 GW+4.9%
Calculation

Aggregate federal agency AI/ML procurement, cloud migration, and automation spend across civilian and defense.

Source

USASpending.gov NAICS-541512/518210 + GSA Schedule 70 award feeds

Fed AI modernization
$28.9B+22.0%
The Capital Flow Map

Every state. Every dollar. Every signal.

MEAKVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMAORNVWYSDIAILINOHPANJCTCAUTCONEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZNMKSARTNNCSCHIOKLAMSALGATXFL
Capital intensity
lowhigh
intel brief available
State intelligence brief

Texas

TX
GeoMomentum 96
AI Data CentersSemiconductorsEnergy GridAdvanced Mfg
Federal Momentum™
$78.4B FYTD
Capital Velocity™
+67% YoY
Top categories
  • Defense procurement$22.1B
  • Energy infrastructure$9.6B
  • Semiconductor R&D (CHIPS)$8.2B
  • Federal IT modernization$3.1B
Notable contract activity
  • DOE$1.4B
    Vistra / Constellation JV
    Grid resilience, ERCOT load growth
  • DoD$890M
    Lockheed Martin
    Missile systems, Grand Prairie
  • Commerce$6.4B
    Samsung Austin Semiconductor
    Taylor fab expansion
Exposed public companies
TXNTexas Instruments
Sherman, Lehi fabs
VSTVistra Corp
ERCOT generation + nuclear
NRGNRG Energy
Data-center power PPAs
ORCLOracle
Austin HQ, cloud regions
Infrastructure Exposure™ · emerging suppliers
Pro layer
Opportunity Density™ scores
AI Infra Pulse
94/100
Fed Momentum
86/100
Capital Rotation
92/100
Institutional Drift
88/100
Hidden Winner Signal
80/100
Energy Risk
72/100
Why this matters · AI narrative

Texas is the highest-velocity capital corridor in the country. Hyperscaler data-center buildout in DFW/Austin is colliding with ERCOT load growth, driving a second-order bid for in-state generation, transmission, and gas peakers. CHIPS Act obligations continue to flow into Samsung Taylor and TI Sherman, with downstream OSAT and substrate suppliers under-discounted.

Export PDF · Pro
Thesis

Why capital flow matters.

Markets price securities. We track the capital underneath them — public, institutional, and corporate — before that flow shows up in the tape.

01
Capital moves before price

Federal obligations, permits, and institutional positioning shift weeks — sometimes quarters — before consensus reprices the affected names.

02
Public data is fragmented

USAspending, SEC EDGAR, state permitting, agency procurement, grid filings — the signal exists, but no one has assembled it into one institutional view.

03
Sell-side is structurally late

Coverage starts after the move. We surface the underlying flow while it is still actionable.

The platform

Signature intelligence, restrained by design.

Six modules. One thesis. No retail clutter, no consensus rehash.

Capital Flow Map

Interactive 50-state cartogram of federal obligations, AI infrastructure intensity, and contract velocity.

Hidden Winners Engine

Tier-2 public beneficiaries of federal modernization, AI buildout, and supply-chain reshoring — before consensus.

Capital Rotation Forecast

Forward view of sectoral migration, calibrated against historical federal-led capex cycles.

AI Infrastructure Outlook

Compute, power, cooling, land, permits — the seven bottlenecks actually pricing the next leg of buildout.

Federal Procurement Momentum

Agency-level obligation curves, vendor concentration, and re-compete risk overlays.

Executive Intelligence Brief

Daily AI synthesis of overnight obligations, awards, and rotation — formatted for desk-side review.

State intelligence

Where capital is concentrating right now.

Three live examples from the 50-state intelligence layer.

See all 50 states
Executive layer

Deeper signal, behind the glass.

The free experience surfaces the public layer. The executive layer unlocks the institutional view — used by allocators, operators, and independent researchers who require primary signal.

See plans
Premium
Executive Intelligence Brief

Daily AI synthesis of overnight federal obligations, contract awards, and capital rotation — formatted for desk-side review.

Morning brief · 6 signals · 3 high-conviction setups
▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮
Unlock executive intelligence
Premium
Hidden Winners Engine

Under-followed Tier-2 public beneficiaries of AI buildout, federal modernization, and supply-chain reshoring.

POWL · VRT · ETN · BWXT · CECO · AGX · MIR
▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮
Unlock executive intelligence
Premium
Institutional Signal Detection

Cross-referenced institutional flow signals against federal obligation cadence and contract award velocity.

13F deltas · insider clusters · dark pool prints
▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮
Unlock executive intelligence
Premium
Capital Rotation Forecast

Forward-curve view of sectoral capital migration, calibrated against historical federal-led capex cycles.

AI Infra → Power → Grid → Nuclear (Q+2)
▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮
Unlock executive intelligence
Premium
AI Infrastructure Outlook

Bottleneck-by-bottleneck read on hyperscaler buildout — the seven constraints actually pricing the next leg.

Compute · Power · Cooling · Land · Permits
▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮
Unlock executive intelligence
Premium
State Intelligence Report

Quarterly institutional report on capital intensity, federal flow, and exposed public companies, state by state.

50 states · 12 sectors · federal exposure heat
▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮ ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮
Unlock executive intelligence
Access

Three tiers. One intelligence layer.

Free
$0Limited access
  • Capital Flow Map preview
  • Sample intelligence feed
  • 3 company lookups / mo
  • 1 AI brief / mo
Start free
Most chosen
Pro
$149per month
  • Full Capital Flow Map
  • Live intelligence feed
  • Unlimited company lookups
  • Watchlists & alerts
  • 20 AI briefs / mo
Upgrade to Pro
Executive
ContactInstitutional
  • Hidden Winners Engine
  • Capital Rotation Forecast
  • Federal Procurement Momentum
  • Custom executive briefs
  • API & analyst access
Request access
Source discipline

Built on primary data. Always cited. Never advisory.

Capitora is a research platform. Every signal is traceable to a public source. We do not execute trades, custody assets, or issue investment advice.

USAspending.gov
SEC EDGAR
SAM.gov contract awards
CHIPS Program Office
State permitting APIs
ERCOT · EIA-930
Treasury disbursement
GSA Schedule 70
Research-only· Source-cited· AI-synthesized, human-curated
Private Alpha · Founding Intelligence Cohort

Request access to the intelligence platform.

Curated cohort of investors, executives, consultants, and institutional researchers. Individual review · typical response within 72 hours.

Have an invite code? Redeem access →